Asset Allocation June 15, 2005
The
Growth Portfolio has benefited from a focused but diversified strategy.
The focus has been on the Canadian commodity sector including energy,
base metals and gold. The addition of financial services, transportation
and industrial stocks has given the portfolio added stability being
less volatile than a highly concentrated portfolio.
CN
Rail recently announced a 2:1 stock split by way of a stock dividend
the portfolio reflects that change now showing 300 shares with an
average cost of $36.13.
Last
month Cameco announced a 2:1 stock split as well and that has been
reflected in the portfolio showing 400 shares with an average cost
of $28.00 per share.
Those are
the only changes to the growth portfolio for this month.
Growth
portfolio as at March 15, 2006:
Company
|
Symbol
|
Shares
|
Cost
$ |
Market
$ |
Total
$ |
Stop
|
Inco
|
N
|
200
|
49.34
|
54.05
|
10,810
|
45.00
|
Aur
|
AUR
|
900
|
8.45
|
13.21
|
11,889
|
11.00
|
Cameco
|
CCO
|
400
|
28.00
|
42.08
|
16,832
|
35.00
|
TD
Bank |
TD
|
200
|
45.94
|
65.40
|
13,080
|
50.00
|
Sunlife
|
SLF
|
200
|
36.42
|
49.84
|
9,968
|
40.00
|
Shell
|
SHC
|
300
|
35.00
|
40.60
|
12,180
|
35.00
|
Suncor
|
SU
|
200
|
34.74
|
88.00
|
17,600
|
68.00
|
CN
Rail |
CNR
|
300
|
36.13
|
53.67
|
16,101
|
85.00
|
Finning
|
FTT
|
300
|
35.25
|
39.50
|
11,850
|
32.50
|
Kinross
|
K
|
700
|
11.95
|
11.18
|
7,826
|
10.00
|
Canadian
Natural |
CNQ
|
200
|
46.00
|
65.66
|
13,132
|
55.00
|
Cash
|
|
|
|
|
209
|
|
Cost:
|
99,027
|
|
|
Total:
|
141,477
|
|
Global
Portfolio:
The Global Portfolio
attempts to follow the asset allocation model and has made the changes
as suggested by selling the SPDR Trust (S&P 500) unit and replaced
that with the S&P Latin America 40 index Fund which is an exchange
traded fund trading under the exchange symbol ILF.
The Latin
America 40 Index is made up of 40 large companies from the four
largest economies in the region, Mexico , Brazil , Argentina and
Chile . The top ten holdings in the fund are, America Movila SA
de CV, Petroleo Brasileiro SA ADR, Cemex SA de CV, Companhia Vale
do Rio Doce, Banco Bradesco SA, Telefonos de Mexico, Comapnhia Vale
do Rio Doce ADR, Banco Ltau Holding Financiera, Wal-Mart de Mexico
SA, Companhia De Bedidas das Americas.
This
well diversified unit is a low cost way to invest in the region
with a very low management expense ratio of only 0.5%.
Canadian
Equity
|
Symbol
|
Units
|
Cost
|
Market
|
Total
|
S&P/TSX
60 |
XIU
|
300
|
48.80
|
68.48
|
20,544
|
Financials
|
XFN
|
400
|
36.67
|
49.96
|
19,984
|
Energy
|
XEG
|
400
|
43.38
|
87.51
|
35,004
|
Gold
|
XGD
|
100
|
54.18
|
68.43
|
6,843
|
Latin
Am.
Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lat
Am 40 |
ILF
|
100
|
143.99
|
143.99
|
16,642
|
Asian
Equity
ishares |
|
|
|
|
|
Japan
|
EWJ
|
600
|
10.94
|
13.92
|
9,653
|
Pacific
|
EPP
|
100
|
77.23
|
104.42
|
12,069
|
Hong
Kong |
EWH
|
600
|
11.46
|
13.99
|
9,292
|
Cash
|
|
|
|
|
2.263
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total:
|
|
|
98,462
|
|
132,295
|
Canadian
dollar exchange rate: 1.1558
Investment
profiles:
Inco
(N):
Inco
is a well known name in Canada is the second largest nickel producer
in the world and also produces copper, gold and nickel products
as well. The company has mining operations in Sudbury , Thompson
Manitoba and Indonesia . Inco is currently developing two properties
the Voisey's Bay property in Labrador which is scheduled to be in
production in early 2006 and the Goro property in New Caledonia
which is expected to start producing in the fall of 2007
Inco
is expected to produce approximately 500 million pounds of nickel
and 260 million pounds of copper and 400,000 ounces of platinum
group metals in 2004. The company is on track to produce more nickel
this year than at any time since 1974. Inco is in an excellent position
to increase production over the next 2-3 years and take advantage
of the increase in demand from Asia . Inco has submitted a take
over offer for Falconbridge if this offer is successful Inco will
be the world's largest nickel producer and a major copper producer
as well.
Target
price: $65.00
Aur
Resources (AUR):
A
Canadian copper producer and small enough to be a potential take
over candidate. The company operates a number of mines in Quebec
and Chile . The company is developing a number of properties in
North and South America as well.
Target
price: has been increased to $15.00 due to the ongoing strength
in copper and the stop loss is set at $10.00.
Cameco
(CCO):
Cameco
is the worlds lowest cost producer of uranium and supplies approximately
20% of the world's production. The company has total proven and
probable reserves of 550 million pounds of uranium. The company
operates three mines in Northern Saskatchewan , McArthur River ,
Key Lake , and Rabbit Lake along with two properties in the US ,
Smith Ranch-Highland in Wyoming and Crow Butte in Nebraska . Cameco
also owns 31.6% of Bruce Power which is a joint venture with TransCanada
Corp and BPC Generation Infrastructure Trust. Bruce Power has leased
eight Candu reactors located in Ontario , six of which are operational,
the six reactors can produce 4,700megawatts of electricity enough
to supply approximately 20% of the provinces power requirements.
Cameco produced 20.56 million pounds of uranium in 2004, 2 million
pounds more than in 2003, generating revenue of $1.04 bill ion and
earnings of $278.8 million or $1.56 per diluted share. The company
recently split the shares 3:1 and increased the annual dividend
by 20% to a post split $0.24 per share.
Target
price: $100.00
TD
Bank (TD):
TD
is one of the five largest banks in Canada offering a wide array
of financial services. The retail market is serviced by over 1300
TD Canada Trust locations, TD Securities offers investment banking.
The fundamentals in the financial services industry have improved
over the last year with loan loss provisions declining, the equity
market activity improving and a very active housing market creating
an attractive mortgage market. As the economy continues to improve
so should the profitability at the TD. The chart shows a strong
uptrend in place going back to the fall of 2003.
Target
Price: $65.00
Sunlife
Financial (SLF):
SLF
is an international financial services company offering life, health,
pension and retirement services. SLF also owns MFS one of the top
ten mutual fund companies in the US , along with a 34% ownership
in CI Fund Management Inc. gives SLF a diversified position in the
wealth management business in North America . The fundamentals in
both of these businesses has been improving the stock trades with
a P/E of 17.5 and the chart shows an uptrend in place which started
in the summer of 2003 and the shares going to new highs into uncharted
territory.
Target
Price: $50.00
Shell
Canada Ltd (SHC):
Shell
is a well positioned integrated oil and gas producer that also has
refining capacity. The current lack of refining capacity in North
America will mean that any refineries currently operating will be
in a very good position to expand profitability. Shell is also a
major natural gas producer and with natural gas near all time highs
and production reduced due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita this winter
will see gas prices remain high.
Initial
target price is $45.00 and the stop loss set at $32.00 the 200 day
moving average.
Suncor
(SU):
Suncor
Energy Inc. is an integrated oil & gas company with operations
focused in the Alberta oil sands, one of the world's largest petroleum
reserves, which represents 85% of current production.
The
company has operations concentrated in the oil sands areas near
Fort McMurray , Alberta , mining bitumen and upgrading it into refinery
feedstock and diesel fuel. Natural gas is produced in Western Canada
and managed from Calgary , Alberta most of the natural gas is produced
for internal use in the recovery process in the oil sands operations.
The company operates a refinery in Sarnia , Ontario and products
are marketed in Ontario , Quebec and northeastern United States
. Suncor operates 500 service stations in Ontario and recently acquired
43 Phillips 66 service stations along with a refinery in Denver
Colorado .
The
company has huge potential reserves the oil sands estimated at 10
bill ion barrels of oil. This positions Suncor as a long term supplier
of petroleum products. Target price: $80.00
CN
Rail (CNR):
Canadian
National Railway Company is a leading North American railway, after
acquiring Illinois Central in 1999 and Great Lakes Transportation
in 2004 along with the partnership agreement with BC Rail in 2004.
The company has 19,560 miles of track in Canada and the US operating
from coast to coast and down to the Gulf of Mexico serving the ports
of Vancouver , Prince Rupert , Montreal , Halifax , New Orleans
and Mobile Alabama .
CN
transports a variety of products including petroleum, chemicals,
grain, fertilizers, coal, metals, forest products and autos. The
company generates revenue from the US (56%), Canada (25%) and international
traffic (19%). CN has seen a substantial increase in fourth quarter
revenue from the commodity sector metal (37%), forest products (22%),
coal (20%) and chemicals (9%). CN recently announced a 28% increase
in the dividend per share from $0.78 to $1.00 annually the shares
now yield 1.37%.
Target
Price: $100.00
Finning
(FTT):
Based
in Vancouver is a distributor for Caterpillar equipment in Western
Canada , the UK and South America . Finning supplies equipment to
the resource and construction industry both of which have been much
stronger over the past year.
The
UK operation recently granted the distribution rights for Perkins
Engines which should add $50 million annually in revenue. Target
Price: $40.00
Kinross
Gold (K):
A
Canadian gold producer with 11 mines operating in The US, Canada
, South America , Africa and Russia which produce 1.6 million ounces
of gold annually. The company is a now one of the ten largest gold
producers in the world. Kinross is a low cost producer of gold with
a cash cost of production of only $265.00 an ounce. The company
is well managed and well positioned to take advantage of the current
high price of gold. One year target price: $15.00 initial stop loss
$10.00.
Canadian
Natural Resources (CNQ):
One
of the larger natural gas producers in Canada CNQ also has conventional
oil production and is in the process of establishing a production
facility in the tars sands in the Fort McMurry area. This is a well
managed well diversified Canadian oil and gas company. Target price
$65.00. Stop loss $55.00.
ETF
Profiles:
XIU:
S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund holds the 60 largest companies by market
capitalization in Canada , all of the main sectors of the economy
are represented. The unit pays an annual Dividend of $0.87 per unit,
current yield is 1.65%. The units are very liquid there are currently
105 million outstanding.
XFN:
Financials Index Fund holds 26 Canadian financial companies encompassing
Banking, Life Insurance, and Investment Management. The unit pays
an annual Dividend of $0.80 per unit, current yield is 2.03%.
XEG:
Energy Index Fund holds 28 Canadian energy companies involved in
the production, service and integrated sectors of the OIL& Gas
sector. The unit pays a small annual dividend of $0.50 per unit,
current yield is 0.89%.
XGD:
Gold Index Fund holds 19 Canadian companies involved in Gold production.
The unit is dominated by two companies Barrick Gold and Placer Dome
which combined account for 48% of the units' value.
ILF:
S&P Latin America 40 Index Fund holds a diversified portfolio
of 40 large companies for the four largest economies in the region,
Mexico , Brazil , Argentina and Chile .
EWJ:
MSCI Japan Index Fund holds a corresponding position to the Index.
Top ten holdings, Toyota , Canon, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Mitsubishi
Financial, Honda Motor, Mizuho Financial, Sony, NTT DoCoMo, Matsushita
Electric and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.
EPP: MSCI Pacific
Index Fund ex: Japan. Holds companies from Australia , Hong Kong
, New Zealand and Singapore . Top ten holdings, BHP Billiton, National
Bank of Australia, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australia &
New Zealand Banking Corp, Westpac Banking Corp, Hutchison Whampoa,
Westfield Group, Cheung Kong, Sun Hung Kai Properties and Woolworths.
|