Exchange Traded Funds a diversified approach to sector investing
Have you ever wondered how
to establish a position in a sector of the market and not be dependent
on only one or two companies performance? The most efficient way
I have found is to utilize Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The diversified
holdings in the units reduce the risk of being in the wrong company
at the wrong time, but offer the growth potential of the sector
overall. For a long term investor they offer an attractive alternative
to mutual funds. ETFs are available on most of the major indices
in the TSX and can be traded like a single stock where buy and sell
levels can be determined and option strategies can also be implemented
to reduce risk and increase cash flow. The ETFs trading on the TSX
are liquid, the flagship S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU) for example
has almost 98 million units outstanding.
The Exchange Traded Funds available in Canada are called iunits
and are managed by Barclays Global Investors. The units have the
management expense ratio capped at 55 basis points. Most are market
weighted and have a maximum weighting of 25% for any single company.
The units are deliverable and this reduces the potential for a discount
or premium to the market value to develop.
There are three iunits that I believe are appropriate to consider
at this time.
The S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund, iEnergy (XEG), The S&P/TSX
Capped Financials Index, iFin (XFN) and the S&P/TSX Capped Gold
Index Fund, iGold (XGD).
All three trade on the TSX and have options available on the Montreal
Exchange.
The iEnergy Index Fund (XEG) unit covers the entire spectrum of
energy companies. It holds 29 energy and related companies with
representation from integrated oil & gas, producers, drillers,
service and pipe line companies. The top five holdings in the unit
are Encana Corporation, Petro-Canada, Suncor Energy, TransCanada
Corp and Tailsman Energy all of which are leaders in their industry.
If the price of crude oil and natural gas continue to stay at historically
high levels this sector should be one of the best performing in
the Canadian market. The global demand for petroleum products is
coming into a seasonally high period which should create demand
for production and distribution companies as the realization that
profits in this sector will be much higher than anticipated. Most
analysts have been using $30.00 per barrel as an average price for
2004 which is much lower than the actual prices so far this year
which means their earnings estimates will be low and any surprises
will be to the upside. Buy with an initial target of $51.00, stop
on close only of $38.50.
The iFin Index Fund (XFN) unit covers the entire Canadian financial
services sector. The unit holds 25 companies including Banks, Insurance,
Mutual Fund and Money Management firms. The top five holdings in
the fund are Manulife Financial Corp., Royal Bank, Bank of Nova
Scotia, TD Bank and Bank of Montreal. If the economy in Canada continues
to grow along with improving loan loss experience this sector will
be very profitable over the next few quarters. The steeply sloped
yield curve is helping to maintain excellent spreads in the lending
business. The increased interest in equity investing has increased
assets under management for the Mutual Fund and Money management
businesses which increases their profitability. There will at some
point in the future be more consolidation in the financial services
sector and by owning a diversified unit covering the entire sector
you will be positioned to see the benefits of this consolidation
over the longer term. Buy with an initial target price of $42.00,
stop on close only $32.50.
The iGold Index Fund (XGD) covers the Canadian Precious metals
sector. The unit holds 19 precious metals companies, the top five
holdings are, Barrick Gold, Placer Dome, Goldcorp, Glamis Gold and
Kinross Gold. The unit is dominated by Barrick Gold and Placer Dome
which combined equal a 47.50% weighting in the unit. The unit includes
other producers as well as across section of exploration companies.
The potential for gold over the longer term is attractive as the
World is becoming more and more concerned about inflation and gold
has been a traditional hedge again the purchasing power erosion
of inflation. Another increase in demand is coming from the Asian
countries of China and India where gold has historically been used
as investment when the population generally does not trust paper
currencies. The global uncertainty of terrorism will tend to be
supportive of the gold price. Finally gold should be looked at as
a hedge against any dramatic US dollar weakness that may develop
coming up to the US election this fall. Buy with an initial target
of $62.00 stop on close $44.00.
The opportunity presented by Exchange Traded Funds to participate
in specific sectors that appear attractive should not be over looked
by investors who are not familiar with the individual companies
in the sector but wish to be involved.
|